Monday, January 16, 2006

Polls still good for Tories

Strategic Counsel: Con 40%; Lib 27%

The Tories, the poll suggests, are beginning to gain important ground in the Greater Toronto Area, traditionally a Liberal stronghold where the party now holds more than 30 seats.

Support for the Liberals there is now at 40 per cent, but the Conservatives are close at 37 per cent. The NDP is at 16 per cent.

The Conservatives are dominant in the rest of Ontario, where they outpoll the Liberals 42 per cent to 28 per cent. The NDP is at 20 per cent and the Green Party at 9 per cent.
.....
The Conservatives are also making gains on the Liberals in Montreal, inching up to within four percentage points of them. The Liberals are at 23 per cent, compared with 19 per cent for the Tories. And the upward trend continues for the Conservatives in the rest of Quebec where they are polling at 32 per cent compared with 41 per cent for the Bloc Québécois and 12 per cent for the Liberals. If these numbers hold, the Conservatives likely will win seats in Quebec.

EKOS: Con 38.6%; Lib 27.2%
In Ontario, home to 106 seats, the firm interviewed 514 people and found the Tories are at 41.7 per cent, the Liberals at 31.4 per cent, the NDP at 20.3 per cent and the Greens at 5.7 per cent. Those numbers are accurate to within 4.3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

In Quebec, with 75 seats up for grabs, the separatist Bloc is at 46.6 per cent, the Tories at 21.6 per cent, the Liberals at 18.1 per cent, the NDP at 9.8 per cent, and the Greens at 3.3 per cent. EKOS polled 286 Quebecers and the data there is accurate to within 5.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

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