Tuesday, December 27, 2005

Canadian polls - December 19 to Dec 25

Having missed a week due to vacation, let's review the last week's polls. Previous results from two weeks ago are in brackets.

National poll averages (10 polls)

Liberals 35.9% (37.3%)
Conservatives 30.1% (28.4%)
NDP 16.1% (15%)

A slight improvement for the Conservatives, but still no major inroads nationally, despite the superior campaign they are conducting.

Ontario poll averages (10 polls)

Liberals 43.3% (45.8%)
Conservatives 34.5% (31.7%)
NDP 16% (17.3%)

Considerably better for the Conservatives. If Ontario starts to slide away from the Liberals, they are toast!

British Columbia poll averages (5 polls)

Liberals 37.2% (31.6%)
Conservatives 29.2% (29.8%)
NDP 27.6% (29.2%)

Again, BC is all over the map with wild swings, but this is encouraging for the Liberals.

Quebec poll averages (10 polls)

Liberals 24.5% (30.9%)
Conservatives 8.9% (7.6%) note: 9 polls only
NDP 7.6% (7%) note: 9 polls only
Bloc 53% (51.4%)

Brutal for the Liberals. They will lose seats in Quebec. No word in French for "Conservative" as usual.

All above poll averages compiled from Nodice.

Democratic Space current seat prediction (last election in brackets):

Liberals 120 (130)
Conservatives 102 (92)
NDP 23 (24)
Bloc 63 (62)

Previous articles about: Canadian polls
Canadian polls - Dec 6 to Dec 11
Canadian polls - Nov 28 to Dec 5

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